Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 47.773496 53.737045 59.953165 66.898796 74.425455 82.318194 91.203125
2024-10-27 36.527406 44.905172 54.196562 65.187879 77.755664 91.599563 107.921880
2024-11-03 32.417063 42.303449 53.725391 67.737331 84.299238 103.089772 125.852082
2024-11-10 28.804985 39.648222 52.634407 69.070470 89.046321 112.268118 141.021019
2024-11-17 25.333044 36.675072 50.722786 69.016950 91.813088 118.887476 153.053988
2024-11-24 23.617663 35.685337 51.057844 71.551459 97.607893 129.086429 169.408488
2024-12-01 21.112958 33.377409 49.466683 71.438069 99.948727 134.983775 180.528889
2024-12-08 18.664953 30.892164 47.411801 70.510988 101.082946 139.268024 189.606621
2024-12-15 16.865808 29.136841 46.172588 70.510619 103.296619 144.841482 200.283787
2024-12-22 15.285406 27.543436 45.016970 70.498768 105.403322 150.232234 210.739308
2024-12-29 14.692259 27.370273 45.819640 73.153920 111.075144 160.276020 227.250746
2025-01-05 13.644707 26.394790 45.383914 74.015516 114.293986 167.133871 239.725214
2025-01-12 12.557989 25.293053 44.731301 74.582136 117.185186 173.711034 252.094719
2025-01-19 10.962283 23.207921 42.467743 72.702906 116.598521 175.619588 258.359719
2025-01-26 10.618634 23.203513 43.372912 75.470557 122.560714 186.391025 276.463271
2025-02-02 10.007784 22.673446 43.408963 76.914319 126.643616 194.653924 291.318154
2025-02-09 9.138251 21.594593 42.494370 76.856446 128.529358 199.905452 302.169834
2025-02-16 8.894270 21.644236 43.402122 79.600942 134.519729 210.888652 320.893974
2025-02-23 8.131913 20.638404 42.499460 79.478202 136.274383 215.987115 331.657054
2025-03-02 7.286552 19.380711 41.087970 78.474503 136.661757 219.136517 339.752953
2025-03-09 6.682344 18.542099 40.336908 78.474104 138.517410 224.351836 350.727476
2025-03-16 6.127940 17.746472 39.606893 78.461272 140.325768 229.498266 361.642268
2025-03-23 6.032559 17.926456 40.622035 81.335168 146.588655 241.101496 381.688232